Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Bitcoin down 2% in quiet trade, further losses seen ahead


Investing.com - Bitcoin prices declined in subdued trade on Tuesday, with further losses seen ahead amid bearish chart signals.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) fell to a session low of $215.00 on Slovenia-based BitStamp, the weakest level since February 6, before trading at $216.89 during U.S. morning hours, down $4.78, or 2.16%.
The price of a bitcoin on Bulgaria-based BTC-e slumped $7.06, or 3.19%, to trade at $214.09, while prices on Singapore-based itBit declined $3.71, or 1.69%, to trade at $215.76.
According to the CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index, which averages prices from the major exchanges, prices of the crypto-currency shed $3.41, or 1.55%, to trade at $216.77.
Meanwhile, euro-denominated Bitcoin prices Bitcoin (BTC/EUR) dropped €2.84, or 1.46%, to trade at €191.88 on U.S.-based Kraken Exchange.
Elsewhere, yuan-denominated Bitcoin prices on Shanghai-based BTC China retreated 21.71 yuan, or 1.56%, to trade at 1,347.47 yuan, while prices on Beijing-based OKCoinsank 27.79 yuan, or 2.02%, to trade at 1,348.71 yuan.
Bitcoin is digital cash and is not backed by a government or central bank to regulate or issue it. It can be used to purchase goods and services from stores and online retailers.
Bitcoin’s market cap has been on a steady decline in recent months, even as the virtual currency has been getting more popular with merchants and retailers, including PayPal, Expedia, Overstock.com and Dell.


Monday, February 9, 2015

Crude oil hits session highs after bullish OPEC monthly report

Investing.com - Crude oil futures rose to the highest levels of the session on Monday, after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries cut forecasts for global oil-supply growth in 2015 as drillers in the U.S. pull back on new production in response to low prices.
In its monthly report released earlier in the day, OPEC lowered its 2015 estimate for non-OPEC supply growth by 420,000 barrels a day, led by a decline of 170,000 barrel a day in the U.S.
“The main factors for the lower growth prediction in 2015 are price expectations, a declining number of active rigs in North America, a decrease in drilling permits in the U.S. and a reduction in the 2015 spending plans of international oil companies,” OPEC said in the report.
OPEC also raised its forecast for demand for its own oil to 29.2 million barrels a day in 2015, up 400,000 barrels from a previous estimate.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude oil for delivery in March rose by as much as 2.98%, or $1.59, to hit a session high of $53.28 a barrel, before trading at $52.55 during U.S. morning hours, up 85 cents, or 1.65%.
On Friday, New York-traded oil futures surged $1.21, or 2.4%, to end at $51.69 a barrel after industry research group Baker Hughes said that the number of rigs drilling for oil in the U.S. fell by another 87 in the past week to 1,136, the lowest since December 2011.
The number of oil rigs has declined in 14 of the last 17 weeks since hitting an all-time high of 1,609 in mid-October.
West Texas Intermediate oil futures are up nearly 18% over the past two weeks, but prices are still down almost 52% from a recent peak of $107.50 hit in June.
New York-traded oil futures climbed $4.10, or 7.15%, last week, the second straight weekly gain and the biggest advance since February 2011, amid indications U.S. producers may be pulling back on new production in response to low prices.
Elsewhere, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil for April delivery tacked on 52 cents, or 0.89%, to trade at $59.20 a barrel, after rising by as much as $1.22, or 2.03%, to touch a daily high of $59.90.
London-traded Brent jumped $1.17, or 2.03%, on Friday to settle at $58.68.
The April Brent contract rallied $6.00, or 9.08%, last week, also the second consecutive weekly advance and the biggest increase since 2011, as some investors bet that a bottom had been reached after a seven-month long rout.
London-traded Brent prices sky-rocketed 17% over the past two weeks, the largest two-week gain since 1998. However, prices are still down approximately 50% since June, when futures climbed near $116.
Oil prices have fallen sharply in recent months as OPEC resisted calls to cut output, while the U.S. pumped at the fastest pace in more than three decades, creating a glut in global supplies.

Friday, February 6, 2015

Strong U.S. job, wage gains open door to mid-year rate hike


WASHINGTON, Feb 6 (Reuters) - U.S. job growth rose solidly in January and wages rebounded strongly, a show of underlying strength in the economy that puts a mid-year interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve back on the table.
Nonfarm payrolls increased 257,000 last month, the Labor Department said on Friday. Data for November and December was revised to show a whopping 147,000 more jobs created than previously reported, bolstering views consumers will have enough muscle to carry the economy through rough seas.
At 423,000, November's payroll gains were the largest since May 2010, when employment was boosted by government hiring for the population count.
While the unemployment rate rose one-tenth of a percentage point to 5.7 percent, that was because the labor force increased, a sign of confidence in the jobs market.
January marked the 11th straight month of job gains above 200,000, the longest streak since 1994.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast hiring increasing 234,000 last month and the unemployment rate holding steady at 5.6 percent.
The continued improvement in the labor market comes despite the economy slowing. Sputtering growth overseas and lower oil prices have weighed on exports and business investment.
Wages increased 12 cents last month after falling five cents in December. That took the year-on-year gain to 2.2 percent, the largest since August.
Interest rate hike expectations had been dialed back to September in the wake of December's surprise drop in wages.
The Fed last week ramped up its assessment of the labor market. Brisk job gains and the improvement in wages could harden expectations of a June policy tightening.
The pick-up in wages is likely to combine with lower oil prices to provide a massive tailwind for consumer spending and keep the economy growing at a fairly healthy clip, despite the global turmoil.
Growth braked to a 2.6 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter.
While several states put in place higher minimum wages last month, that likely had a minimal impact on wages. Economists say roughly three million workers may have been affected, accounting for just 3 percent of the private sector's more than 118 million employees.
The government revised payroll employment, hours and earnings figures dating back to 2010. The level of employment in March 2014 was 91,000 higher than previously estimated.
A new population estimate that will be used to adjust the figures from its household survey was also introduced. That survey is used to determine the number of unemployed and the size of the workforce.
Away from the firmer wages and job growth, the labor force participation rate, or the share of working-age Americans who are employed or at least looking for a job, rose two-tenths of percentage point to 62.9 percent, a sign of confidence in the jobs market.
A broad measure of joblessness that includes people who want to work but have given up searching and those working part-time because they cannot find full-time employment rose to 11.3 percent from 11.2 percent in December.
In January, private payrolls increased 267,000. November and December private employment was revised higher. Private payroll gains in November were the largest since September 1997.
Manufacturing added 22,000 jobs in January. Construction payrolls increased 39,000 after rising 44,000 in December.
Retail employment increased 45,900 after braking sharply in December. The only areas of weakness were government, where payrolls fell 10,000, and transportation employment which dropped 8,600, the first drop since last February.
Temporary help fell 4,100, the first drop in a year.


Tuesday, February 3, 2015

Oil jumps as dollar plunges, up nearly 20 percent in four days

By Barani Krishnan
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Tuesday, headed for the biggest four-day advance since January 2009 as a tumbling dollar sent commodities rallying.
Despite signs that U.S. crude supplies had registered another heavy build last week, investors were growing more confident that oil prices have hit a bottom after a seven-month rout. Traders said oil bulls were encouraged by BP's plan to cut capital expenditure by 13 percent to $20 billion in 2015, which came after reductions announced by other major energy companies.
Benchmark Brent crude oil was up $3.77 at $58.52 a barrel by 2:02 p.m. ET (1902 GMT).
U.S. crude , or WTI, rose $4.30 to $53.87.
Since last Wednesday's close, Brent and WTI have gained about $9 each, or roughly 19 percent. Until then, the market had tumbled with little pause week after week, after a selloff that began in June on fears of a global oversupply in crude.
The break higher came after news on Friday that the number of U.S. oil drilling rigs, measured by oil services firm Baker Hughes, had fallen their most in a week in nearly 30 years.
On Tuesday, the dollar dropped more than 1 percent against a basket of currencies (DXY), heading for its biggest daily drop since July 2013 and boosting the value of commodities priced in the currency. [USD/]
The capital reduction plans of BP and other energy firms fueled the perception that the global oil glut may end faster than thought.
"You've got a number of themes working to push the market higher," said Phil Flynn, analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago.
Still, some traders remained pessimistic that the selloff was over, citing signs of another big weekly build in U.S. crude stockpiles.
U.S. commercial crude oil and gasoline stockpiles likely rose about 4 million barrels in the week ended Jan. 30, even as distillate inventories fell, a preliminary Reuters survey showed on Monday. The U.S. Energy Information Administration will release the inventory data on Wednesday. [EIA/S]
Adding pressure to crude, a U.S. refineries strike stretched into a third day after talks on a new national contract broke down.
"It needs to get worse here in terms of productive capacity actually going offline," said John Kilduff, partner at New York energy hedge fund Again Capital. "Also, the capex cuts announced by the respective oil firms are just plans that can be reversed when prices began a steady recovery, so the desired production cuts may not fully materialize."

Oil jumps as dollar plunges, up nearly 20 percent in four days

By Barani Krishnan
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Tuesday, headed for the biggest four-day advance since January 2009 as a tumbling dollar sent commodities rallying.
Despite signs that U.S. crude supplies had registered another heavy build last week, investors were growing more confident that oil prices have hit a bottom after a seven-month rout. Traders said oil bulls were encouraged by BP's plan to cut capital expenditure by 13 percent to $20 billion in 2015, which came after reductions announced by other major energy companies.
Benchmark Brent crude oil was up $3.77 at $58.52 a barrel by 2:02 p.m. ET (1902 GMT).
U.S. crude , or WTI, rose $4.30 to $53.87.
Since last Wednesday's close, Brent and WTI have gained about $9 each, or roughly 19 percent. Until then, the market had tumbled with little pause week after week, after a selloff that began in June on fears of a global oversupply in crude.
The break higher came after news on Friday that the number of U.S. oil drilling rigs, measured by oil services firm Baker Hughes, had fallen their most in a week in nearly 30 years.
On Tuesday, the dollar dropped more than 1 percent against a basket of currencies (DXY), heading for its biggest daily drop since July 2013 and boosting the value of commodities priced in the currency. [USD/]
The capital reduction plans of BP and other energy firms fueled the perception that the global oil glut may end faster than thought.
"You've got a number of themes working to push the market higher," said Phil Flynn, analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago.
Still, some traders remained pessimistic that the selloff was over, citing signs of another big weekly build in U.S. crude stockpiles.
U.S. commercial crude oil and gasoline stockpiles likely rose about 4 million barrels in the week ended Jan. 30, even as distillate inventories fell, a preliminary Reuters survey showed on Monday. The U.S. Energy Information Administration will release the inventory data on Wednesday. [EIA/S]
Adding pressure to crude, a U.S. refineries strike stretched into a third day after talks on a new national contract broke down.
"It needs to get worse here in terms of productive capacity actually going offline," said John Kilduff, partner at New York energy hedge fund Again Capital. "Also, the capex cuts announced by the respective oil firms are just plans that can be reversed when prices began a steady recovery, so the desired production cuts may not fully materialize."

Forex - Aussie dollar down despite upbeat services readings, NZD a focus

Investing.com - The Aussie and New Zealand dollars eased after early morning data sets on Wednesday with investors focused on the scope for further rate cuts in both cases.

NZD/USD traded at 0.73451, down 0.23% after higher than expected unemployment data for the fourth quarter. AUD/USD traded at 0.7775, down 0.22%, following the unexpected rate cut to a record low 2.25% on Tuesday and USD/JPY changed hands at 117.69, up 0.08%.

New Zealand's fourth quarter unemployment rate ticked up to 5.7%, compared to expectations for a drop to 5.3% from 5.4% in the third quarter with the participation rate at a record high of 69.70%.

Then at 0930 local time (2230 GMT), RBNZ Governor Wheeler speaks on the outlook for the for NZ economy.

Given the RBNZ's surprise move to switch to an explicit neutral basis at the official cash rate review last week, the speech is being closely watched for the explanation.

Australia's AIGroup services index rose 2.4 points to 49.9, edging up to just shy of expansion territory.

In Japan, December preliminary wages data are due at 1030 (0130 GMT). In November the average wages per regular employee in Japan for November rose a nominal 0.1% for the ninth straight year-on-year rise but it was the smallest gain in the current gradual pickup that began in late 2013. A gain of 1.6% is expected.

At the same time, BOJ Deputy Governor Kikuo Iwata is due to speak to business leaders in Sendai City.
Iwata will hold a news conference in Sendai from 1400 to 1430 (0500 to 0530 GMT).

Over to China then where the HSBC services PMI is due at 0945 local time (0145 GMT). This doesn't tend to get the attention drawn by the manufacturing index, in part because it's been stable in recent months.

Overnight, the dollar pushed lower against the other major currencies on Tuesday, after disappointing U.S. factory orders data added to Monday's weak U.S. economic reports, dampening optimism over the strength of the country's recovery.

In a report, the U.S. Census Bureau said factory orders declined by 3.4% in December, worse than expectations for a decline of 2.2%. Factory orders fell by 1.7% in November, whose figure was revised from a previously reported decline of 0.7%.

Sentiment on the dollar remained vulnerable after data on Monday showed that U.S. consumer spending fell at the fastest rate since September 2009 in December, dropping 0.3% as households saved on cheaper gasoline prices.

Separate reports showed that U.S. construction spending rose less than expected in December, while manufacturing growth slowed.
The US dollar index was quoted at 93.85, up 0.09%.

Explosion heard in central Cairo: Reuters witness

CAIRO (Reuters) - An explosion was heard in central Cairo on Tuesday, a Reuters witness said.
The cause of the blast was not immediately clear. Islamist militants seeking to topple the government have carried out numerous bombings since the army toppled President Mohamed Mursi of the Muslim Brotherhood in 2013.